2025 Global Rebar Market: Infrastructure-Driven Growth in Emerging Economies
release time：
2025-09-02 17:35
Market Overview: Balancing Supply and Demand
The global rebar market is set to reach 1.2 billion tons in 2025, with China's production dominating at 150 million tons. However, prices have declined 12.78% year-on-year due to oversupply and weak real estate demand. While mature markets stagnate, emerging economies are driving growth through infrastructure projects, offsetting declines in traditional sectors.
Emerging Markets: The New Growth Engine
Infrastructure spending in Southeast Asia and the Middle East is fueling rebar demand. India's steel consumption is projected to grow 8% annually from 2024 to 2025, driven by metro expansions and smart city initiatives. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has further boosted demand in Vietnam, Thailand, and Pakistan, where infrastructure spending exceeds 7% of GDP. Latin America, particularly Brazil, is also ramping up renewable energy projects, increasing rebar imports by 15% in 2025.
Export Trends: China Leads Amid Trade Barriers
China remains the top exporter, with shipments rising 8.9% in H1 2025, primarily to Vietnam, South Korea, and Thailand. However, anti-dumping measures in the EU and US are reshaping trade flows. Alternative exporters like India and Turkey are gaining market share in Africa and Latin America, leveraging cost advantages.
Conclusion: Navigating Volatility with Strategic Focus
The 2025 rebar market faces dual challenges: domestic oversupply in China vs. booming infrastructure needs abroad. Exporters must adapt to trade policies while investing in high-strength and green rebar to meet evolving standards. Regional partnerships and sustainable production will define long-term competitiveness.
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